AIR Worldwide Updates Insured Loss Estimates for California Wildfires

Catastrophe modeling firm AIR Worldwide announced that it has updated its loss estimates for the recent California Wildfires after analyzing findings from its damage survey conducted during the week of October 30, along with newly acquired information about policy terms, and a re-examination of the replacement values of high-value homes within its industry exposure database (IED). AIR now estimates that insured losses from the Tubbs, Nuns, Atlas, Redwood, and Sulphur fires in California will be between $8 billion and $10.5 billion. AIR Worldwide is a Verisk business.

Source: AIR Worldwide | Published on November 16, 2017

CA wildfire risks

AIR's loss estimates represent damage to residential, mobile home, commercial, and automobile lines of business, as well as direct business interruption losses; they include demand surge (increases in rebuild costs that result from shortages of labor and materials), but do not contemplate extra expenses such as debris removal.

As previously noted, uncertainty remains regarding losses to vineyards and wineries. While AIR does not expect losses to wineries and vineyards to constitute the major part of the losses from these fires (residential losses are expected to dominate), it may be that the value of the equipment, machinery, and inventory at the wineries may exceed the contents values contemplated in AIR's Industry Exposure Database.

About AIR Worldwide

AIR Worldwide (AIR) provides risk modeling solutions that make individuals, businesses, and society more resilient to extreme events. In 1987, AIR Worldwide founded the catastrophe modeling industry and today models the risk from natural catastrophes, terrorism, pandemics, casualty catastrophes, and cyber attacks globally. Insurance, reinsurance, financial, corporate, and government clients rely on AIR's advanced science, software, and consulting services for catastrophe risk management, insurance-linked securities, site-specific engineering analyses, and agricultural risk management. AIR Worldwide, a Verisk business, is headquartered in Boston with additional offices in North America, Europe, and Asia. For more information, please visit