Insurance Brokers Maintain Stability as P&C Pricing Moderates, TD Cowen Finds

The research highlights how structural characteristics of the broker business model help support performance during periods of changing pricing conditions.

Published on January 8, 2026

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Insurance brokers continue to demonstrate earnings stability across market cycles, even as property and casualty (P&C) pricing begins to soften, according to a recent analysis from TD Cowen. The research highlights how structural characteristics of the broker business model help support performance during periods of changing pricing conditions.

Structural Advantages Support Broker Revenue

According to the analysis, brokers are generally less exposed to underwriting volatility than carriers and tend to be more insulated from short-term rate fluctuations. As property and casualty rate momentum slows after several years of firm pricing, TD Cowen noted that brokers remain positioned to sustain revenue growth through multiple channels.

Renewal retention remains a central contributor to broker performance. In addition, exposure growth and continued demand for advisory services support revenue, even as pricing pressure eases. TD Cowen emphasized that softer pricing does not automatically result in weaker broker results, particularly when other drivers remain in place.

Commission income continues to benefit from higher insured values and steady policy counts across both commercial and personal lines. The breadth of products distributed by brokers also contributes to revenue consistency. Furthermore, many brokerage firms have expanded beyond traditional commission-based income. Fee-based services, specialty placements, and risk advisory offerings provide diversification and help offset cyclical pressure within individual lines of business.

Scale, Consolidation, and Expense Management Play Key Roles

The analysis also addressed the impact of consolidation and scale within the brokerage sector. Larger broker platforms benefit from increased purchasing power with insurers and broader access to markets. These advantages enable firms to enhance placement efficiency and foster strong client relationships. In addition, scale enables ongoing investment in technology and data capabilities, which can further support retention and operational effectiveness. These factors are particularly relevant for complex commercial risks, where expertise and market reach play a critical role.

Expense management remains another factor supporting broker resilience. TD Cowen observed that labor and technology costs have risen across the industry. However, brokers have continued to integrate acquisitions, streamline internal processes, and deploy automation to protect margins. As organic growth levels normalize following elevated post-pandemic activity, these cost management efforts are becoming increasingly important.

Diverging Dynamics for Brokers and Carriers

The findings also illustrate differing dynamics between brokers and carriers as the property and casualty cycle evolves. While insurers may encounter margin pressure from easing rates and higher claims costs in certain lines, brokers remain primarily volume-driven. Continued insurance demand tied to economic activity, inflation, and regulatory requirements helps sustain broker revenues, regardless of pricing direction.

Client reliance on brokers also remains strong amid changing risk conditions. TD Cowen highlighted climate-related losses, cyber risk, supply chain disruptions, and evolving liability exposures as factors that increase coverage complexity. As these risks continue to develop, the need for broker expertise persists, even in a more competitive pricing environment among insurers.

Overall, TD Cowen’s analysis characterizes insurance brokers as a relatively stable segment within the broader insurance value chain. As property and casualty markets move toward a more balanced or softer phase, broker performance continues to be supported by diversification, scale, and the ongoing role brokers play in connecting insurers with insureds across economic cycles.

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