Fannie and Freddie Could Avoid Fed Bailout if Billions in Bonds are Repaid

Due by quarter’s end, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's success in repaying $223 billion of bonds may determine whether they can avoid a federal bailout.

Published on August 20, 2008

According to figures provided by the government-chartered companies, Fannie has about $120 billion of debt maturing through Sept. 30, while Freddie has $103 billion.

Rising borrowing costs and evidence that demand for their debt was waning last month led Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson to seek the authority to pump unlimited amounts of capital in Fannie and Freddie in an emergency. Their interest costs are again increasing amid concern that credit losses are depleting the capital of the beleaguered mortgage-finance companies.

Rolling over the debt ”is the single most important factor to their ability to remain liquid,'' said Moshe Orenbuch, an analyst at Credit Suisse in New York. “So far, they've been able to do that.''

Investors in Asia, the biggest foreign owner of Fannie's $3 trillion of bonds, are reducing their share of purchases, potentially increasing the need for Paulson to make good on his pledge to backstop the companies.

“This whole backstop mechanism was set up so the actual need for it could be avoided,'' said Mahesh Swaminathan, a mortgage strategist for Credit Suisse in New York. "The market is testing the Treasury's resolve.''