Hard Market in Non-Life Insurance Expected To Persist Into 2025

The non-life insurance sector is anticipated to face persistent hard market conditions into 2025, as per the latest report by Swiss Re.

Published on July 17, 2024

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This outlook is driven by a combination of factors, including elevated claims costs, inflationary pressures, and ongoing supply chain disruptions. As insurers navigate these challenges, rate increases are expected to remain necessary to maintain profitability and underwriting discipline.

Key Drivers of the Hard Market

The primary factors contributing to the sustained hard market include:

  • Claims inflation: Rising costs of claims, particularly in property and casualty lines, are exerting upward pressure on premiums. The increased costs are partly due to higher repair and replacement costs as well as more significant legal expenses.
  • Natural catastrophes: The frequency and severity of natural disasters continue to strain the reinsurance market. Events such as hurricanes and wildfires have led to substantial losses, necessitating higher premiums to cover the increased risk.
  • Economic conditions: Broader economic trends, including inflation and supply chain issues, have further complicated the pricing environment for insurers. These factors are likely to persist, making it imperative for insurers to adjust their pricing strategies accordingly.

Impact on Insurers and Policyholders

For insurers, the hard market represents both a challenge and an opportunity. While the need to raise rates can strain relationships with policyholders, it also allows for the correction of previous underpricing and the stabilization of financial results.

For policyholders, particularly businesses, the continued increase in insurance costs will require careful risk management and potentially higher deductibles to manage expenses.

As the industry braces for another year of tough conditions, stakeholders must remain vigilant and adaptable to navigate the evolving landscape.